Soybeans Pause Rally After USDA’s Bullish WASDE
Report
Soybean
futures took abreather midweek after the US government released
its first supply and demand report of 2021. The cropâs prices
have extended their gains from 2020, rising close to 8%
in the first two weeks of the year. But as prices trade at their
best levels in 2021, how much higher can soybean go over the next
12 months?
March soybean futures tumbled $0.0875, or 0.62%, to $14.095 per
bushel at 14:16 GMT on Wednesday on the Chicago Board
of Trade (CBoT). Soybean prices have risen to their highest
point since February 2014, enjoying a thunderous 52% rally over
the last 12 months.
On Tuesday, the US Department
of Agriculture (USDA) released its first World Agriculture Supply
and Demand (WASDE) report of 2021. According to the USDA,
soybean production is forecast to fall 35 million bushels to 4.1
billion bushels. The harvested area is up to 82.3 million acres,
while the yield is projected to slide 0.5 bushels to 50.2 bushels
per acre.
The US government noted that soybean supplies are down 14
million bushels from December, with the season-average soybean
price for the 2020â2021 marketing season is up 60 cents to $11.15
per bushel. Soybean export forecasts were raised by 30 million
to an all-time high of 2.23 billion bushels.
Among the agricultural commodities, corn output was
revised downward by 324 million bushels to 14.1 billion bushels,
with a season-average price of $4.20 per bushel.
Overall, the US government anticipates that soybean and corn
supplies in September will be smaller than previously predicted
because of a reduced forecast of last autumnâs harvest.
The WASDE report looked beyond the borders of the US,
highlighting the events occurring in South America. Argentina
and Brazil, which are two key markets for soybean production, have
been hammered by dry and hot weather conditions, impacting their
harvest. The USDA revised its expectations for production
and stocks lower for Rio de Janeiro and Buenos Aires.
According to data from the Commodity
Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), non-commercial traders,
which include hedge funds, reduced their net-long positions
in soybeans. This potentially signals that the market is expecting
a pullback in soybean prices.
In other crop markets, March corn futures added $0.1225,
or 2.37%, to $5.295 per pound. March wheat futures
slipped $0.02, or 0.3%, to $6.63 a bushel. March coffee surged
$0.0285, or 2.35%, to $1.242 per pound.
If you have any questions and comments on commodities today, use
the form below to reply.
© AndrewMoran for Commodity Blog, 2021. |
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iShook
Jan 13, 2021 - 11:16
5
0
Soybean
futures took abreather midweek after the US government released
its first supply and demand report of 2021. The cropâs prices
have extended their gains from 2020, rising close to 8%
in the first two weeks of the year. But as prices trade at their
best levels in 2021, how much higher can soybean go over the next
12 months?
March soybean futures tumbled $0.0875, or 0.62%, to $14.095 per
bushel at 14:16 GMT on Wednesday on the Chicago Board
of Trade (CBoT). Soybean prices have risen to their highest
point since February 2014, enjoying a thunderous 52% rally over
the last 12 months.
On Tuesday, the US Department
of Agriculture (USDA) released its first World Agriculture Supply
and Demand (WASDE) report of 2021. According to the USDA,
soybean production is forecast to fall 35 million bushels to 4.1
billion bushels. The harvested area is up to 82.3 million acres,
while the yield is projected to slide 0.5 bushels to 50.2 bushels
per acre.
The US government noted that soybean supplies are down 14
million bushels from December, with the season-average soybean
price for the 2020â2021 marketing season is up 60 cents to $11.15
per bushel. Soybean export forecasts were raised by 30 million
to an all-time high of 2.23 billion bushels.
Among the agricultural commodities, corn output was
revised downward by 324 million bushels to 14.1 billion bushels,
with a season-average price of $4.20 per bushel.
Overall, the US government anticipates that soybean and corn
supplies in September will be smaller than previously predicted
because of a reduced forecast of last autumnâs harvest.
The WASDE report looked beyond the borders of the US,
highlighting the events occurring in South America. Argentina
and Brazil, which are two key markets for soybean production, have
been hammered by dry and hot weather conditions, impacting their
harvest. The USDA revised its expectations for production
and stocks lower for Rio de Janeiro and Buenos Aires.
According to data from the Commodity
Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), non-commercial traders,
which include hedge funds, reduced their net-long positions
in soybeans. This potentially signals that the market is expecting
a pullback in soybean prices.
In other crop markets, March corn futures added $0.1225,
or 2.37%, to $5.295 per pound. March wheat futures
slipped $0.02, or 0.3%, to $6.63 a bushel. March coffee surged
$0.0285, or 2.35%, to $1.242 per pound.
If you have any questions and comments on commodities today, use
the form below to reply.
© AndrewMoran for Commodity Blog, 2021. |
|
No comment | Add to
del.icio.us
Post tags:
Feed enhanced by
Better Feed from Ozh